Dealroom analysis · Updated 29 October 2026

Is the SaaSpocalypse over?

SaaS demand has held up through the 2026 selloff. Stripe's payment data shows revenue growth accelerating, and cloud shares have recovered. Dealroom's median listed business-software multiple is 24% below September 2025. These figures cover different groups of companies.

Stripe Economics' 10 September analysis covers an average of 72,000 non-AI SaaS businesses a week in 2026. It tracks payments processed by Stripe, a proxy for revenue. Aggregate growth accelerated. Growth in the median-business index slowed through 2025 to 11.7% in February 2026, then picked up to 15.3%.

SaaS payment growth accelerated in 2026

Non-AI SaaS businesses on Stripe · growth over 52 weeks to October 2026

Source: Stripe Economics · Dealroom calculations

The indices compare the same businesses each week and adjust for seasonality and currency movements. They exclude AI-native companies and cannot measure payments outside Stripe, costs or profit margins. Stripe publishes the index data; download the CSV used here. The chart calculates 52-week growth from those published levels through the week of 12 October 2026. Stripe has revised the series since its September analysis, past weeks included; this page uses the levels downloaded on 29 October 2026.

Stripe measures current customer demand in its own sample. Our multiples measure what investors pay for expected revenue in a different group of listed companies.

Software multiples reset after 2021

Monthly median EV / NTM revenue by public-software theme. Loading…

Source: Dealroom.co with multiples.vc data · monthly median EV / NTM revenue per public-software theme.

The median listed business-software multiple is 2.2× expected annual revenue in September 2026, compared with 2.9× a year earlier, a fall of 24%. It is up 4% from March's 2.1×.

Miro provides a private-market example of the valuation reset. On 10 September 2026, Bending Spoons agreed to acquire the collaboration platform at an enterprise value of $1.355 billion, and it completed the purchase on 26 October. Including net cash, the implied equity value is approximately $1.79 billion, about 90% below Miro's $17.5 billion funding valuation in 2022. Miro has around $600 million in annual recurring revenue: substantial software demand can coexist with a much lower valuation.

Generative AI has the highest median multiple of the five themes, at 4.4× in September. Horizontal SaaS follows at 2.3×.

Cloud software sold off from January 2026, bottomed on 10 April and recovered through the summer. Andreas Helbig marked the round trip on 27 August, dating the SaaSpocalypse January to August 2026. The index levels in the next chart come from Nasdaq, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Bessemer Venture Partners, not from Dealroom.

Cloud shares rose 29% over the past year, ahead of the main US indices

Cloud software shares against the main US indices over the past year. Loading…

Source: Nasdaq, S&P Dow Jones Indices and Bessemer Venture Partners index levels via FRED · price return · not Dealroom data.

These charts cover different companies

The cloud index tracks share prices for 65 selected cloud companies. Our business-software dataset covers a much wider group of 1,303 listed companies, and its chart measures revenue multiples. Stripe's payment data covers another set of businesses.

These are separate findings about different companies. We would need to compare share prices, revenue and multiples for the same companies to establish what explains the gap.

Seven selected software companies trade at higher multiples

Median EV / NTM revenue multiple. Loading…

Source: Dealroom.co with multiples.vc data · median EV / NTM revenue.

Prices have moved, and a few names re-rated a long way. The chart below sets each company's share-price move against the mood in high-engagement posts about it on X. The sentiment reading is frozen at 15 June 2026 and the share prices run to September 2026, so the two are about three months apart.

Share-price moves vs the mood on X

Each bubble is a public SaaS / AI-software name. Loading…

Bubble size = enterprise value · X sentiment is a snapshot of company-profile X themes

Source: Dealroom.co with multiples.vc data and company-profile X sentiment.

What this means

SaaS demand has remained resilient in Stripe's data. Cloud share prices have recovered, while the median business-software revenue multiple in our data remains below last year's level and below its 2023 low. Each dataset covers a different group of companies. Together they show stronger demand and an uneven recovery, but they do not tell us why share prices and multiples have moved differently.